The 64-Team Round: AI-ok
Can AI be relied upon for NCAA Pools? I discovered the answer.
With the initial two days of play behind us, I'm faring better in my pool than I typically do. I asked ChatGPT to generate two brackets: one for predicting the actual winner and another aimed at securing a win in my pool. So far, both are performing reasonably well. I find myself tied for fifth out of sixty entries with one bracket and in twentieth place with the other.
ChatGPT didn't outperform my predictions for some of the upsets, as the committee expects the higher seed to win, which is why one team is seeded fifth and the other twelfth.
However, it has predicted correctly about 80% of the time. Of the three teams I was cheering for, two (UCLA and Gonzaga) emerged victorious, while Santa Clara, a ten seed, lost in a last-second shot against Kentucky.
Most importantly, my picks for the Sweet Sixteen, Elite Eight, and Final Four are all intact. This weekend will reveal much about the effectiveness of the ChatGPT modeling.
In my “win the pool” bracket, my Final Four selections include several #2 seeds: UConn, Houston, and Purdue, with Houston anticipated to defeat Purdue for the Championship.
In my “be right” bracket, I have the #1 seeds winning, with Duke taking the championship.
One recurring theme in discussions about this year's tournament is the impact of NIL money and the transfer portal on the Cinderella teams. There’s a growing belief that the top ten or fifteen teams can acquire the best talent and are rich in NBA lottery picks. We will see if this is indeed the case, but it’s certainly fascinating.
Check back on Monday to see whether my Sweet Sixteen turns out to be sweet or sour.
Peter C. Horan is an entrepreneur and digital media investor known for building successful media, commerce, and advertising ventures.
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The 64-Team Round: AI-ok
After completing the first two days of play, I'm performing better in my pool than I typically do. I requested Chat GPT to generate two brackets: one aimed at predicting the actual winner and another focused on winning my pool. So far, both are doing reasonably well. I am currently tied for fifth out of sixty brackets.
